Yes position
US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 10.4%
- Current value
- $7.8
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $67.2
- Multiplier
- 9.62x
- User PnL
- -$26.25
Polymarket Trader
PerformSleepState
0xbdad67aca6283e77c982e2eff2e1c8a5bbd83ef7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $73.91
- Realized PnL
- $81.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $37.88
- Potential payout
- $45.37
- Potential profit
- $7.49
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $14.24
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $6.28
- Potential payout
- $38.06
- Potential profit
- $31.78
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$7.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.98
- Potential profit
- $29.98
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $15.47
- Potential payout
- $20.49
- Potential profit
- $5.02
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Fuse launch a token by March 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $6.48
- Potential payout
- $14.73
- Potential profit
- $8.25
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $3.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.95
- Potential profit
- $10.95
- User PnL
- -$6.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.37
- Potential profit
- $10.37
- User PnL
- -$6.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?No 36% 9.67 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?Yes 60% 9.57 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?Yes 50% 35.8 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?No 36% 28.39 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?No 19% 6.84 shares
- Will Fuse launch a token by March 31, 2027?Yes 19.1% 14.73 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 75% 20.49 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes 16.5% 9.74 shares
- US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?Yes 49.5% 5 shares
- US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?Yes 49.5% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETDown 72% 6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETUp 59% 6 shares