Polymarket Trader

BrianKnox5501

0xbdafb97c5d96b6be3f6894876e491651a80cf63c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $386.83
Realized PnL: $864.07
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jensen Huang say "Bubble" during NVIDIA keynote?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $477
Potential profit: $477
User PnL: -$104.94

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $460
Potential profit: $460
User PnL: -$105.8

Yes position

Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 64.3%
Current value: $207.69
Potential payout: $323
Potential profit: $115.31
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$55.88

Yes position

Will Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296
Potential profit: $296
User PnL: -$47.36

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294
Potential profit: $294
User PnL: -$112.31

No position

Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $142.08
Potential payout: $222
Potential profit: $79.92
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $88.8

No position

Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164
Potential profit: $164
User PnL: -$101.28

Yes position

Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$30.8

Yes position

Will ENA: Dream BBQ win Outstanding Visual Style at the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.4
Potential profit: $47.4
User PnL: -$7.58

Yes position

Will Jennifer Lawrence be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $44
User PnL: -$6.16

Up position

XRP Up or Down - November 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $43
User PnL: -$14.19

No position

Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $35.91
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $7.09
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $17.42

Yes position

Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.84
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$6.44

Yes position

Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $38
User PnL: -$32.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.99
Potential profit: $37.99
User PnL: -$19.76

Down position

XRP Up or Down - November 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $33
User PnL: -$21.12

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$11.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $26
User PnL: -$6.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Trump executive order ending NASA in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.36
Potential profit: $21.36
User PnL: -$0.38

Up position

XRP Up or Down - November 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $19
User PnL: -$5.89

Yes position

Will a Millennium Prize Problem be solved before the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$1.25

Down position

XRP Up or Down - November 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$2.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.86

Yes position

Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.76

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.68

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in December 2025?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.84

Yes position

Will Mark Teixeira be the Republican nominee for TX-21?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.04

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.04

No position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.76

No position

Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.41

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.92

Up position

Solana Up or Down - November 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.66

No position

Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.44

Yes position

Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.4

No position

Will Kanye West release an album in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.35

Yes position

Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.02

Up position

Solana Up or Down - November 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.46

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Up position

Solana Up or Down - November 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.77

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.2

No position

Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.51

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.08

Yes position

Will Pepper win the Defi App trading competition?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.07

No position

2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 55% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.54

No position

Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 31% 110 shares
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?

Yes 12% 25 shares
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

No 12.1% 705 shares
mert mindshare all time high by March 31?

No 9% 12 shares
mert mindshare all time high by March 31?

No 7% 41 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Yes 29% 231 shares
Cerebras IPO before 2027?

No 15% 251 shares
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?

No 55% 5 shares
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?

No 55% 20 shares
Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?

No 78% 292 shares
Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?

No 78% 292 shares
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?

No 74% 528 shares