Polymarket Trader

0xBdb91dE3189860a23Fb5d02e17f71493c5A31418-1764343668024

0xbdb91de3189860a23fb5d02e17f71493c5a31418

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.24
Realized PnL: $19.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $2.02K
User PnL: -$32

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $24.48
Potential payout: $233.15
Potential profit: $208.67
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$22.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.03
Potential profit: $176.03
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.8
Potential profit: $132.8
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.13
Potential profit: $113.13
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.2
Potential profit: $109.2
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.07
Potential profit: $86.07
User PnL: -$31.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.66
Potential profit: $72.66
User PnL: -$28.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.12
Potential profit: $69.12
User PnL: -$32.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.35
Potential profit: $61.35
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.88
Potential profit: $59.88
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $42.86
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$5.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.94
Potential profit: $41.94
User PnL: -$13.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.76
Potential profit: $35.76
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.2
Potential profit: $35.2
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.84K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $936.55

No position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $856.66

No position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $783.49

No position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $656.06

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $596.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $559.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $550.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $459.53

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $339.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $327.14

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295.62

No position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $196.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.85

No position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.62

No position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $168.6

Arsenal position

Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.22

No position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

No 20% 233.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Yes 21% 47.62 shares
Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)

Uruguay 97.8% 59.3 shares
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5

Under 99.9% 10.63 shares
Spread: Spain (-5.5)

Saudi Arabia 99.9% 11.57 shares
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5

Under 99.9% 35.79 shares
Spread: Spain (-5.5)

Saudi Arabia 95% 6.32 shares
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5

Under 94% 10.64 shares
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5

Under 97.8% 35.8 shares
Spread: Spain (-5.5)

Saudi Arabia 95% 5.26 shares
Spread: Japan (-3.5)

Japan 91% 5.49 shares
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 5.5

Under 97.9% 10.21 shares