Polymarket Trader

OroshiKaze

0xbdbb71ca4dbcda5417e6d1f5c9187f32b3a94328

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.02
Realized PnL: $129.19
Win rate: 82.4%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.88
Potential profit: $233.88
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$3.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$7.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.99
Potential profit: $79.99
User PnL: -$2.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $69.72
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$8.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.06
Potential profit: $66.06
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$1.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $43.11
Potential profit: $43.05
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $7.55
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.45
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.9
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$3.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or below on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $37.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.19

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?

Yes 76% 10 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or below on June 19?

Yes 99.2% 40 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 18?

Yes 99.5% 20 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 18?

No 99.9% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 18?

Yes 84% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 18?

Yes 2.8% 55 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?

Yes 55% 2.51 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 18?

No 99.9% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 19?

Yes 3.5% 43.11 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 18?

No 83% 40 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 18?

No 83% 10 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 19?

No 78% 20 shares