Polymarket Trader

otarril

@itslirrato

0xbdbbf6301dcdb644ccbb91784a6b29365ab8084e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.52K
Realized PnL: $26.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $269.55
Potential payout: $3.78K
Potential profit: $3.51K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$156.41

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $744.47
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $409.74
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $134.57

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $107.61
Potential payout: $596.16
Potential profit: $488.55
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $16.99

No position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $395.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $15.8

Yes position

Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $10.01
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $10.01
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1K

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

Movsar Evloev position

UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.15K

No position

Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.05K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $992.19

Yes position

Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $967.78

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $775.05

No position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $753.48

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $729.88

Yes position

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $671.72

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 43.8%
Multiplier: 2.28x
User PnL: $665.78

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $664.93

No position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $643.72

No position

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $641.64

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $636.21

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $574.97

Yes position

Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $567

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 19.5% 512.82 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 19.5% 512.82 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 22.7% 44.05 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 44% 554.19 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 42% 71.43 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 1% 1,436 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 46% 326.09 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 46% 217.39 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 46% 434.78 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 43% 120 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 93.6% 700.05 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 50,000 shares