Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $143.65
- Potential payout
- $150.42
- Potential profit
- $6.77
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.76
Polymarket Trader
bernardiii
0xbdbc436a356827b5f22b98e99cc746f48dbde435
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $267.96
- Realized PnL
- -$128.51
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $124.31
- Potential payout
- $148.87
- Potential profit
- $24.56
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$175.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 93% 150.42 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?No 29% 10 shares
- Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?No 80% 33.39 shares
- Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?No 81% 15.48 shares
- Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?Yes 90% 61.86 shares
- Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?No 84% 100 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes 89% 100 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No 0.3% 205 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No 0.4% 722.67 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No 6.1% 2,065.35 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No 32.7% 144 shares