Polymarket Trader

Xiao2502

0xbdbe33b9c2b16ed98205bbeba909429860755249

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.65
Realized PnL: $10.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $3.65
Potential payout: $280.8
Potential profit: $277.15
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: $1.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.6
Potential profit: $54.6
User PnL: -$22.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $932.65

Heat position

Thunder vs. Heat

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $774.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $712.71

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $590.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $567.23

Under position

Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $478.73

Rockets position

Timberwolves vs. Rockets

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $402.32

Warriors position

Heat vs. Warriors

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $322.95

Under position

Ducks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $189.2

Pistons position

Suns vs. Pistons

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on July 13?

Yes 0.9% 280.8 shares
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 1.8% 161.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Down 51.7% 760.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Down 56.8% 199.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Down 48% 416.67 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 21% 3,513 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 25% 3,513 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Down 42% 54.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Down 4.8% 518.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Down 33% 353.48 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Down 39.2% 165.48 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Down 38% 263.16 shares