Polymarket Trader

PoetJekyll

0xbdc34b2871c48b5a2d37a4089dafb26b2d6fb159

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $59.37
Realized PnL: $285.12
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.79
Potential profit: $55.79
User PnL: -$8.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3.1

No position

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.99
Potential profit: $45.99
User PnL: -$23.58

No position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $38.43
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.5
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$3.17

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.94
Potential profit: $37.94
User PnL: -$7.32

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.76
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$5.12

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.8

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $18.67
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $1.33
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.19

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $5.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $14.1
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$0.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$15.8

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8.7

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $19.7
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $9.76
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $6.37
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.47
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.1

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.39

No position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $10.7

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.1

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.19

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.76

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.7

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.96

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.77

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.45

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.36

No position

Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 52% 3.85 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.6% 8.62 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.9% 7.75 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.8% 7.25 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 5.41 shares
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 29% 3.45 shares
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 27% 3.7 shares
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 29% 3.45 shares
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 17% 5.88 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Yes 26% 3.85 shares