No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $6.98K
- Potential payout
- $7.01K
- Potential profit
- $31.54
- User PnL
- $305.9
Polymarket Trader
ourdemocracy2
0xbdcb293dd41148a20895d0e818c0d96c0756e811
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.47K
- Realized PnL
- $903K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $3.8K
- User PnL
- -$41.8
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $2.69K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $315.49
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $48.37
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.99K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- User PnL
- $103.2
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.18K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $15.4
- User PnL
- $111.05
No position
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $1.7K
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $39.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $49.43
No position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $11.28
- User PnL
- $37.19
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $119
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $966
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $234
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $48.11
No position
Megaquake by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $33.47
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $182.91
No position
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $978.17
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $41.82
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $36.88
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $996.59
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $10.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.6%
- Current value
- $685.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $314.5
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $6.58
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $955
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $45
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $997.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$763.3
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $599.57
- Potential payout
- $662.51
- Potential profit
- $62.94
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$3.31
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $605.15
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $44.85
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $35.65
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $644.82
- Potential payout
- $649.04
- Potential profit
- $4.22
- User PnL
- $20.83
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $312.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $187.5
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$111.62
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $497.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $2.75
- User PnL
- $9.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $618.74K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.02K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.95K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.3K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.67K
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $8.25K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.5K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.44K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.37K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.3K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $887.75
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.68
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $300.12
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.89
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.49
No position
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price hit 30 ETH in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.97
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $191.78
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.19
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.74
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.9
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 94.4% 490 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 84.8% 500 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 51% 300 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?No 92% 202.32 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?No 67.9% 1,000 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?Yes 70.4% 32.98 shares
- Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in June?No 81.8% 101 shares
- Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in June?No 83.3% 283 shares
- Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in June?No 84.2% 268.39 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?No 72.7% 142 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No 82% 300 shares
- Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $450 in June?No 97.8% 85.7 shares