Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $7.98
- Potential payout
- $11.48
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Polymarket Trader
martinmichelle
0xbdd53e7c6dfaedb8cb8ce62c97fbc7b71012176d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.49
- Realized PnL
- $23.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $3.41
- Potential profit
- $3.36
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $2.61
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $1.97
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $1.81
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $1.57
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $1.57
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $1.26
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.03
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 71% 1.44 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 71% 1.48 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 67% 1.66 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 66% 1.64 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 69% 1.52 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 61% 1.72 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 61% 2.03 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 68% 1.81 shares
- Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?Yes 80% 1.39 shares
- ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?No 88% 1.28 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?No 58% 1.97 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?Yes 72% 1.57 shares