Polymarket Trader

Guadaibiao

@authfornia

0xbdd727999a1e05f8f2abdb1f96ae8a9e29b86497

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $839.91
Realized PnL: $6.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $726.14
Potential payout: $4.84K
Potential profit: $4.11K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$53.49

Yes position

Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $215
Potential profit: $215
User PnL: -$79.55

Team WE position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$31

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $89.82
Potential payout: $92.64
Potential profit: $2.83
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.51

No position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $23.95
Potential payout: $25.2
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.78

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21K

Yes position

Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $850.65

Yes position

Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $421.39

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $361.94

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 11PM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.22

Yes position

Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 12AM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.96

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.57

Yes position

Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 4AM ET

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

No position

Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12AM ET

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 9AM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 8AM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $99.68

Team WE position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.5

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

No 85.6% 370.96 shares
Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

No 91% 30 shares
Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

No 91% 157.42 shares
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 92% 245 shares
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Bilibili Gaming 98% 100 shares
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Team WE 25.6% 50 shares
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Team WE 27% 350 shares
Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 96.6% 29.6 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 30.2% 50 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 28.4% 900 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 22% 275.53 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 24.8% 467.23 shares