Yes position
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $197.59
- Potential profit
- $195.61
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.02
Polymarket Trader
Joaorsa
0xbdd941b65d184f677147f6de3397dbaae11fe84a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $55.87
- Realized PnL
- $110.06
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132.94
- Potential profit
- $132.94
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $6.21
- Potential payout
- $89.29
- Potential profit
- $83.09
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- $1.21
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $8.01
- Potential payout
- $47.85
- Potential profit
- $39.83
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.2%
- Current value
- $14.96
- Potential payout
- $42.55
- Potential profit
- $27.6
- Multiplier
- 2.84x
- User PnL
- $4.96
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.93
- Potential profit
- $19.93
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $14.08
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $2.58
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $16.39
- Potential profit
- $15.11
- Multiplier
- 12.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.6%
- Current value
- $7.97
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $3.02
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $6.97
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $10.32
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $9.56
- Potential profit
- $9.33
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.78
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $7.54
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.86
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$1.86
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.12
- Potential profit
- $5.12
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Jakub Mensik position
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.31
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $13.28
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.26
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.19
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5
Packers position
Packers vs. Lions
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Yes position
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $6.41
Steelers position
Steelers vs. Lions
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
Packers position
Spread: Packers (-6.5)
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Yes position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Yes position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 60% 16.67 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?Yes 99.6% 6.71 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 20.9% 47.85 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 23.5% 42.55 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.6% 89.29 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?Yes 14.9% 6.71 shares
- Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 99.9% 1.85 shares
- Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 54% 1.85 shares
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 12.2% 16.39 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?No 9.1% 10.99 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes 21% 4.76 shares