No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $575.7
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $24.3
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Polymarket Trader
xiaoyua
0xbde327e6873f018f46f2884e95fc98006be02d97
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.02K
- Realized PnL
- $316.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 85.7%
- Current value
- $281.4
- Potential payout
- $328.35
- Potential profit
- $46.95
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$29.48
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $162.59
- Potential payout
- $165.74
- Potential profit
- $3.15
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.27
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.91
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.61
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.81
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.58
No position
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.46
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.94
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.32
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.07
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.62
No position
Trump out as President by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $6.08
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
No position
Ethereum all time high by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.02
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120,000 and $122,000 on October 12?
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 98.7% 165.74 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 96.1% 600 shares
- Trump out as President by July 31?No 98.9% 743 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 99.9% 736 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 99% 736 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 90.8% 112.47 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes 98.5% 835.89 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?No 99.8% 824.74 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No 99.6% 824 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?No 99.9% 410.4 shares
- Trump out as President by April 30?No 99.3% 410.87 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No 99.1% 410.42 shares