No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $764.4
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $35.6
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $124.4
Polymarket Trader
duck-empat
0xbde3e2c2b72948e8e8cd4ce56df40de98de46019
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $764.4
- Realized PnL
- $3.4K
- Win rate
- 84.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $797.53
No position
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $766.77
No position
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479.9
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $417.72
No position
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398.37
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.79
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.23
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.86
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.46
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.06
No position
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.6
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.33
No position
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
No position
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.09
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$38.27
No position
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$864
No position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.34K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 80% 800 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 85.9% 640.33 shares
- Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 89.7% 480.07 shares
- Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 88.4% 45 shares
- Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 85.3% 35.8 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 54% 869 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?No 85% 500 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No 87% 1,488.25 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No 83% 2,611.75 shares
- Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 50% 0.48 shares
- Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes 88.8% 1,443.44 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No 94.8% 6,280.19 shares