No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $4.57K
- Potential payout
- $5.54K
- Potential profit
- $970.27
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $2.05K
Polymarket Trader
05729834
0xbdea1d79a2b530a5f23e5d7c2eb906a52ee720b1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.32K
- Realized PnL
- $2.68K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $483.75
- Potential payout
- $3.87K
- Potential profit
- $3.39K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$715.95
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $2.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $246.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$168
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 37% 32.43 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 0.8% 1,500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 37% 2,702.7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 41% 1,219.51 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 34.7% 1,440.89 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 31% 3,870 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 53% 2,884 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 12% 1,500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.8% 3,013.02 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 73% 3,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 62% 3,226.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 57.6% 1,734.64 shares