Polymarket Trader

mouz848

0xbdf7792a0f6eb546da138205c7560e337d9e50fa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.97K
Realized PnL: $9.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $874.68
Potential payout: $17.67K
Potential profit: $16.8K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $359.24

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.26K
Potential profit: $8.26K
User PnL: -$523.8

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $194.14
Potential payout: $7.06K
Potential profit: $6.87K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $21.31

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $67.76
Potential payout: $5.42K
Potential profit: $5.35K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$43.71

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.54K
Potential profit: $4.54K
User PnL: -$542.46

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $479.82
Potential payout: $3.89K
Potential profit: $3.41K
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: $158.07

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $2.21K
User PnL: -$821.83

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $215.27
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $1.84K
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $17.47

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $69.47
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.62K
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: $7.17

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $89.23
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$63.3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $534.94
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $785.91
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $16.79

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $126.54
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $881.72
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$6.11

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $930.93
Potential profit: $930.93
User PnL: -$50.46

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $878.21
Potential profit: $878.21
User PnL: -$226.54

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $726.75
Potential profit: $726.75
User PnL: -$141.02

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $135.7
Potential payout: $680.19
Potential profit: $544.49
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: -$40.35

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $634.81
Potential profit: $634.81
User PnL: -$41.9

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $565.44
Potential profit: $565.44
User PnL: -$16.96

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $466.52
Potential profit: $466.52
User PnL: -$24.17

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $386.14
Potential profit: $386.14
User PnL: -$41.32

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.02
Potential profit: $236.02
User PnL: -$17.49

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $183.31
Potential payout: $222.2
Potential profit: $38.89
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $3.33

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.2
Potential profit: $222.2
User PnL: -$13.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.97K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $539.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $537.83

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $491.21

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.58

No position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.1

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.47

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.15

Under position

Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.43

Over position

Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $160.32

Stars position

Stars vs. Avalanche

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.37

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.25

No position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.1

Senators position

Senators vs. Rangers

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.62

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.22

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.36

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.63

Jets position

Avalanche vs. Jets

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.82

Ducks position

Ducks vs. Canadiens

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.66

Flyers position

Capitals vs. Flyers

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5

Under 19% 166.65 shares
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5

Over 80% 277.75 shares
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5

Under 20% 166.65 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 526.89 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 260.36 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 218.57 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 101.55 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 30% 111.1 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 31% 111.1 shares
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

England 51% 147.63 shares
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Mexico 49% 111.1 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.6% 1.33 shares