No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $13.59
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $17.66
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Polymarket Trader
anonymoses
0xbe0b3748af6393b3c478bb71492088f956a67efd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $109.15
- Realized PnL
- $196.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $8.59
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $22.66
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
No position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $16.93
- Potential payout
- $26.07
- Potential profit
- $9.14
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$3.07
No position
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $14.22
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $19.32
- Potential payout
- $20.67
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.87
- Potential profit
- $17.87
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $16.12
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $6.12
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $13.51
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $10.72
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $2.44
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $10.9
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $10.81
- Potential profit
- $9.62
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.81
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $3.77
- Potential payout
- $9.43
- Potential profit
- $5.66
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.1
- Potential profit
- $6.1
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.27
- Potential profit
- $3.27
- User PnL
- -$2.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.61
No position
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.16
Yes position
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.46
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.88
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.47
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.51
Yes position
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05
No position
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.94
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 20?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Yes position
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
No position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?No 48% 31.25 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Yes 32% 31.25 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes 68% 14.71 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?No 84% 23.81 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?No 85% 17.65 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 61% 16.39 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 91.8% 32.67 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 76.7% 26.07 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 91.1% 65.86 shares
- Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 80.4% 12.44 shares
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?No 93% 32.26 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 2?No 88.1% 11.35 shares