Polymarket Trader

twnormie

@twNormie

0xbe1df537ee581632098a52921b8e4f923a8e3c6e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.41K
Realized PnL: $5.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 90.6%
Current value: $6.74K
Potential payout: $7.44K
Potential profit: $703.49
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$309.16

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.8%
Current value: $593.96
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 2.80x
User PnL: $301.57

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.5
Potential profit: $137.5
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $73.61
Potential payout: $135.07
Potential profit: $61.46
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$4.41

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.38
Potential profit: $71.38
User PnL: -$17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $705.28

No position

Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $598.14

No position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405.41

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $391.15

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.56

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $318.69

Yes position

Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.11

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.66

No position

Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.48

Yes position

WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.03

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.45

No position

Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.87

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-25?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.55

Yes position

Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-24?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.73

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.69

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.19

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.31

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.22

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.89

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.5

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.72

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.94

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 89.5% 2,222.89 shares
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 89.7% 2,222.9 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 24% 75 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 63% 29.23 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 65% 29.23 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 34% 58.91 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 46% 8.7 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

Yes 2% 199.09 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

Yes 62% 199.1 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 46% 50.22 shares
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 74% 31.57 shares
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 19% 31.58 shares