Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.73
- Potential profit
- $7.73
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Polymarket Trader
0xbe23FfbaB3458678F87de6dF22D6F786B81a43Ba-1773633064893
0xbe23ffbab3458678f87de6df22d6f786b81a43ba
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.44
- Realized PnL
- $0.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.92
- Potential profit
- $4.92
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.84
- Potential payout
- $4.84
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.34
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.62
- Potential profit
- $2.62
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $2.61
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27
- Potential profit
- $2.27
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes 60.9% 2.61 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 97.3% 5.48 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 61% 2.62 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 66% 2.27 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 31% 4.84 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?No 68% 1.47 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.7% 1.02 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 80% 1.25 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?No 99.3% 1.21 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 44% 7.73 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 65% 4.92 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No 99.3% 5.17 shares