Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.4%
- Current value
- $89.54
- Potential payout
- $547.62
- Potential profit
- $458.08
- Multiplier
- 6.12x
- User PnL
- $54.54
Polymarket Trader
0xbe24...ab5d
0xbe249d9dbd287aa8cf8f1dd18531e810c641ab5d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $293.59
- Realized PnL
- $19.61
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $80.75
- Potential payout
- $343.64
- Potential profit
- $262.88
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$4.24
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $54.32
- Potential payout
- $278.59
- Potential profit
- $224.26
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$5.67
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $39.2
- Potential payout
- $79.2
- Potential profit
- $39.99
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $14.2
Yes position
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.05
- Potential profit
- $70.05
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $16.94
- Potential payout
- $45.17
- Potential profit
- $28.23
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.18
- Potential profit
- $44.18
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $7.46
- Potential payout
- $8.62
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $5.38
- Potential payout
- $5.65
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.01
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
Yes position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 24% 20.83 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 24% 20.83 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 24% 20.83 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 24% 20.83 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 24% 20.83 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 24% 20.83 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 24% 20.83 shares
- Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Yes 31% 16.13 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 24% 20.83 shares
- Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?Yes 88.5% 5.65 shares
- Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Yes 33% 15.15 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 24% 20.83 shares