Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $870.29
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $135.83
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $55.67
Polymarket Trader
danh
0xbe266ba90830ed3de74911ea73552c7cb423e02a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.7K
- Realized PnL
- $45.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $512.83
- Potential payout
- $523.56
- Potential profit
- $10.73
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $12.83
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $202.12
- Potential payout
- $223.34
- Potential profit
- $21.22
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.71
- Potential profit
- $99.71
- User PnL
- -$34.9
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.24
- Potential profit
- $95.24
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $63
- User PnL
- -$13.84
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $45
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $13.82
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $23.42
- Potential payout
- $25.18
- Potential profit
- $1.76
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $6.67
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $7.22
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $12.99
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $2.26
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $10.45
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.02
- Potential profit
- $11.02
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $8.12
- Potential payout
- $10.75
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $10.34
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.02
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $1.92
- Potential payout
- $5.5
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$3.08
Yes position
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.82
- Potential profit
- $3.82
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.3
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- User PnL
- -$2.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.38
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 29?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
xAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?No 88% 7.46 shares
- Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 77% 12.99 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes 60% 8.33 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No 96% 10.42 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 10.75 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 82% 12.2 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 79% 135 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 80.3% 373.67 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 90% 42.22 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 80% 625 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 85% 58.82 shares