No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $101.54
- Potential payout
- $102
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- User PnL
- $0.66
Polymarket Trader
0xBe27E3FC9a14260E34Ac1470F0778b6eBfb42FE8-1765955363105
0xbe27e3fc9a14260e34ac1470f0778b6ebfb42fe8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $112.79
- Realized PnL
- $13.51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.6%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $12.42
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Zelensky resigns in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No 99.3% 98.6 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No 98.3% 98.61 shares
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 97.3% 99.54 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 96.6% 12.42 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 95.5% 110.73 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 97% 110.73 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No 99.2% 90 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No 99% 107.33 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes 99.2% 107.11 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes 99.1% 107.11 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No 99.5% 106.69 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No 99.6% 106.7 shares