Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $660
- Potential profit
- $658.02
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.02
Polymarket Trader
0xbe2c...5e16
0xbe2cc635bd2a7e389c6f281801b1089959b45e16
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $89.76
- Realized PnL
- $174.27
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.67
- Potential payout
- $410.3
- Potential profit
- $407.64
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.33
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $23
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $262.71
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $248.88
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $148.45
- Potential profit
- $148.38
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.36
- Potential profit
- $123.36
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $116.08
- Potential profit
- $110.33
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$9.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $7.54
- Potential payout
- $97.93
- Potential profit
- $90.39
- Multiplier
- 12.99x
- User PnL
- -$2.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.26
- Potential profit
- $83.26
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $4.41
- Potential payout
- $78.13
- Potential profit
- $73.71
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $9.68
- Potential payout
- $70.42
- Potential profit
- $60.74
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $5.56
- Potential payout
- $65.06
- Potential profit
- $59.5
- Multiplier
- 11.70x
- User PnL
- -$4.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.86
- Potential profit
- $63.86
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $4.17
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $51.39
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.65
- Potential profit
- $51.65
- User PnL
- -$24.79
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $10.23
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $35.23
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $6.59
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $38.86
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $6.98
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $34.69
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- $5.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.68
- Potential profit
- $39.68
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.24
- Potential profit
- $34.24
- User PnL
- -$11.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will "UFC" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETUp 13.8% 36.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETUp 53.1% 47.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 22% 45.45 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 18% 555.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETUp 38% 62.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETUp 40% 62.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETUp 71% 159.34 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETUp 62.8% 159.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETDown 63% 39.68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETUp 48% 10.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETUp 79% 37.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETUp 66% 37.88 shares