No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $984
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $16
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4
Polymarket Trader
0xbe31...a6a2
0xbe31401e28fb1b527c5042882a92e724e6dca6a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $2.41K
- Realized PnL
- $1.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $960.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $39.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$14.5
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $189.33
- Potential payout
- $533.33
- Potential profit
- $344
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$29.34
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $262
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $138
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$42
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $12.6
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $287.4
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$32.4
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$193.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.85
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.02
No position
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.5
No position
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.8
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
No position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $17.29
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $8.18
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $5.68
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?Yes 97.3% 79.82 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 91% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 85.8% 150 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 77.4% 250 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 8.6% 300 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 17% 300 shares
- Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?Yes 85% 200 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No 80.2% 399.99 shares