Polymarket Trader

MacMenace

0xbe31518cb02ba090bf9e8b336fb5b06d1cc3b42d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.6
Realized PnL: $2.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

G2 Esports position

LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.46K
Potential profit: $2.46K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.44K
User PnL: -$7.2

Under position

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$8.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $923.07
Potential profit: $923.07
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $842.62
Potential profit: $842.62
User PnL: -$18.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $749.99
Potential profit: $749.99
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $712.42
Potential profit: $712.42
User PnL: -$9.26

Yes position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $675
Potential profit: $675
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $545.45
Potential profit: $545.45
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $461.53
Potential profit: $461.53
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $444.44
Potential profit: $444.44
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $440
Potential profit: $440
User PnL: -$24.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.66
Potential profit: $416.66
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $387.08
Potential profit: $387.08
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $372.56
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $365.85
Potential profit: $365.85
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.16
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $331.29
Potential profit: $331.29
User PnL: -$10.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $324.32
Potential profit: $324.32
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

RC Strasbourg Alsace position

Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420.25

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $160.87

Yes position

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $121.24

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.5

Yes position

Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-03-12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.71

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.92

Luciano Darderi position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.57

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.88

Nikola Bartunkova position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Nikola Bartunkova

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.96

Under position

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.38

No position

Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.46

Timberwolves position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

Yes position

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.5

En-Shuo Liang position

Jiujiang: Xiaodi You vs En-Shuo Liang

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.98

Real Madrid CF position

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.1

Under position

SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.59

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.32

No position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.91

Under position

Gamba Ōsaka vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 1.5

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 4.8% 44.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 4% 156.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 5% 156.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 57.5% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 4.1% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 1.6% 47.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 307.69 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 62% 37.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 12% 156.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 12% 156.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 81% 34.84 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 88% 38.19 shares