Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$15.4
Polymarket Trader
Ddonineteen
0xbe3d34441e4fd5f3c69c5a00e694376e37964dc6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $764.5
- Realized PnL
- $9.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600.03
- Potential profit
- $600.03
- User PnL
- -$150.85
Yes position
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $545.32
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Torsten Bell be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $540.02
- Potential profit
- $539.21
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Current value
- $55.66
- Potential payout
- $460
- Potential profit
- $404.34
- Multiplier
- 8.26x
- User PnL
- $25.66
Yes position
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $96.38
- Potential payout
- $275.37
- Potential profit
- $178.99
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$20.29
Yes position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $270
- User PnL
- -$4.26
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $132.25
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $97.75
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $27.25
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Current value
- $20.79
- Potential payout
- $222.35
- Potential profit
- $201.56
- Multiplier
- 10.70x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $38.5
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $181.5
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$12.1
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $37
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $163.01
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 120 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $198.79
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $2.84
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $169.57
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$2.16
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $170
- User PnL
- -$99.13
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $50.05
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $79.95
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $35.58
- Potential payout
- $120.6
- Potential profit
- $85.02
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$17.09
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $69
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $51
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $105.77
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $11.79
No position
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $54
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $46
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $42.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $57.5
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$38
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $852.5
Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $674.99
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $586.39
No position
Will the DHS shutdown end before April 1, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.31
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $299.55
Yes position
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.22
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.38
No position
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.91
Yes position
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.72
No position
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $227.96
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.67
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.79
Yes position
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.82
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $171.71
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.41
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $157.97
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.77
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $144.88
No position
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.38
Yes position
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.44
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?Yes 3.2% 190.9 shares
- Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?Yes 7% 136 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 17% 50 shares
- Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes 33% 5.37 shares
- Will Torsten Bell be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 0.5% 130.47 shares
- Will Torsten Bell be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 0.2% 180.02 shares
- Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?No 3.6% 55 shares
- Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?No 5.8% 55 shares
- Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes 28% 33 shares
- Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?Yes 50% 1.61 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No 85.4% 110 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 73% 110 shares