Polymarket Trader

sorceress

0xbe60a5a0e82ce5c6bfb2e1a7ccde3a9317352212

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.7
Realized PnL: $155.81
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $102 end of November?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $330
User PnL: -$59.4

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Rachel Reeves out as Chancellor of the Exchequer by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.7
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.7

Yes position

7 green Bitcoin hourly candles on March 23?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $7.4
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92.6
Multiplier: 13.51x
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will BlackRock say "Stablecoin" during earnings call?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Lighter reach $4.50 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Lighter reach $5.00 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Trump say none of the listed terms during Saudi PM events on November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.98
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.99
Potential profit: $84.99
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.99
Potential profit: $79.99
User PnL: -$10.93

Yes position

Will BlackRock say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during earnings call?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63
Potential profit: $63
User PnL: -$5.04

Yes position

Will Trump say "NATO" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Starmer out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will DoorDash report less than 800 million total orders in Q4 2025?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Nicki Minaj attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

10 green Bitcoin hourly candles on March 23?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will Trump say "Jerusalem" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during speech on October 14?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.6

No position

Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

Yes position

Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will Lyft say "International" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will Trump say "Jerome" or "Too Late" during the America Business Forum on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will CME Group (CME) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Mineral" or "Earth" 2+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will International Business Machines (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Uber say "Waymo" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Ends Jan 20, 2029

Implied probability: 68%
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Lyft say "FreeNow / Free Now" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nine Wars" or "Ninth War" in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Ends Jan 20, 2029

Implied probability: 32%
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Yes 4% 99.99 shares
Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 99.99 shares
Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 200 shares
7 green Bitcoin hourly candles on March 23?

Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
10 green Bitcoin hourly candles on March 23?

Yes 1% 40 shares
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?

Yes 45% 10 shares
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $100 end of November?

No 16% 10 shares
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $102 end of November?

No 18% 30 shares
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $102 end of November?

No 18% 30 shares
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $102 end of November?

No 18% 100 shares
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $102 end of November?

No 18% 10 shares
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $102 end of November?

No 18% 120 shares