Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $13.42K
- Potential payout
- $14.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Polymarket Trader
Medvedevv
0xbe68a17f676d6cdf36e391a08d6d7b3d721818ea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.89K
- Realized PnL
- $520.23
- Win rate
- 95.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $465
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $135
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $138.71
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.26
No position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.96
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.97
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.34
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $14.81
No position
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
No position
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
Netanyahu out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
No position
Kash Patel out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 97.8% 699.99 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 97.8% 919.99 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 97% 320.58 shares
- Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?No 96.3% 4.55 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No 99.9% 491.36 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No 98.9% 491.36 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No 96% 1,799.99 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 97.5% 400 shares
- Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?No 98.2% 901.15 shares
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Yes 99% 200 shares