Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.23
- Potential profit
- $36.23
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
Calmglade
0xbe69a7edaceafb20e2b1b863c292278a1f8ce8d5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.9
- Realized PnL
- $316.97
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Philadelphia Phillies position
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.64
- Potential profit
- $31.64
- User PnL
- -$19.61
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.17
- Potential profit
- $29.17
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $19.9
- Potential payout
- $21.03
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.94
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 26, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$15.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 95.1% 21.03 shares
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes 64% 64.06 shares
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes 64% 796.88 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 88.2% 17.01 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes 24% 29.17 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes 75% 60 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETDown 55.2% 36.23 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?No 92% 73.91 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 58% 119.87 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 71% 119.87 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 78% 111.39 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 79% 111.39 shares