Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $751.04
- Potential profit
- $751.04
- User PnL
- -$253.1
Polymarket Trader
staszek
0xbe6f5c8753e35b3ba818dbe8dffc115c70bf6b77
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $950.65
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $581.71
- Potential payout
- $731.71
- Potential profit
- $150
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $281.71
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $228.26
- Potential payout
- $434.78
- Potential profit
- $206.52
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $128.26
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $127.76
- Potential payout
- $193.72
- Potential profit
- $65.96
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $27.76
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $12.92
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $5.94
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $2.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 53% 18.87 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 51.6% 193.72 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 59.7 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No 91% 109.89 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 23% 434.78 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 41% 731.71 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 33.7% 751.04 shares