Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $242
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.76K
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- $115.99
Polymarket Trader
tescat
@TescatPoly
0xbe7c0363ec2f0d12630fd48ac4c87ce84f418356
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.26K
- Realized PnL
- $3.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $28.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $971.51
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $67.55
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $632.45
- Multiplier
- 10.36x
- User PnL
- $48.03
Yes position
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $12.3
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $587.7
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $8.82
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $480
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $494.25
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $1.84
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $26
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $473.99
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $36
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $364
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$37.7
Yes position
Critical Discord Incident by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $33.84
- Potential payout
- $270.73
- Potential profit
- $236.89
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.06
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $161
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $39
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $55.9
Yes position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.5
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $89.62
- Potential payout
- $153.21
- Potential profit
- $63.58
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $8.75
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $126.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $23.25
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $29.25
No position
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $122.24
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $27.77
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $12.74
Yes position
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 21, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $85.66
- Potential payout
- $111.98
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$4.55
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $57.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $42.5
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: June
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $99.97
- Potential profit
- $95.98
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $64.22
- Potential profit
- $63.87
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.78
No position
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $42.4
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $10.6
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $6.96
No position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $42
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $8
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $44
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $2.78
- Potential payout
- $48.77
- Potential profit
- $45.99
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- -$3.97
Yes position
Will Wild Horse Nine get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $42.32
- Potential profit
- $41.79
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Will The Social Reckoning get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 23.4%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $42.32
- Potential profit
- $32.42
- Multiplier
- 4.27x
- User PnL
- $8.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $537.48
No position
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $384.67
No position
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $258.23
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.04
No position
Will Trump say "Congratulate" or "Congratulations" during events with Polish president on September 3?
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.97
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- $165.03
Yes position
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be between 300k and 350k?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.08
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $161
Yes position
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $157.06
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144
No position
Will Trump say "God" or "Evil" during the UK state banquet on September 17?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.16
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $129.65
No position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.84
No position
Will Kristen Bell be nominated for Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.84
Yes position
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.51
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $101.09
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $99.3
No position
Will Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.94
No position
Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.72
No position
Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.52
Yes position
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $81.29
No position
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79.84
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 28% 100 shares
- Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 80.6% 111.98 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No 51% 50 shares
- Critical Discord Incident by June 30?Yes 15% 30 shares
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No 60% 50 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 20% 200 shares
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.6% 999.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 100 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No 1.7% 1,349.05 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.1% 1,582.97 shares
- Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No 66.6% 100 shares
- Critical Discord Incident by June 30?Yes 14% 300.73 shares