Polymarket Trader

seac

0xbe903d58bd38a22aa544d6981160db01360aacb5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.26
Realized PnL: $276.41
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Remco Evenepoel win the Tour de France 2025?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Florian Lipowitz win the Tour de France 2025?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.98
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Mexico?

Ends Jul 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $99.53
Potential profit: $99.24
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.7

No position

Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.15
Potential profit: $92.15
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57
Potential profit: $57
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$1

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.93
Potential profit: $40.93
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.69
Potential profit: $38.69
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.19
Potential profit: $36.19
User PnL: -$4.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.73
Potential profit: $33.73
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $21.53
Potential payout: $31.43
Potential profit: $9.9
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $10.53

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.15
Potential profit: $30.15
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $25.88
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.9
Potential profit: $24.9
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.91
Potential profit: $22.91
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.77
Potential profit: $22.77
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.25

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell say "recession" during the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.52

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Hornets

Ends Feb 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.48

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

No position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.67

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?

Yes 93% 6.45 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 99.8% 12.19 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 53% 3.77 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

No 99.8% 10 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 96% 10.42 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 41% 12.2 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 9.7% 10.31 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 72% 2.78 shares
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.00 and $3.00 on July 31, 2026?

Yes 13% 15.38 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 5% 19.98 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 98.6% 1.01 shares