Yes position
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $40.3
- Potential payout
- $16.12K
- Potential profit
- $16.08K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.04
Polymarket Trader
0xbE9DA80f590dfE84A343f4122db51896A627a829-1769704674926
0xbe9da80f590dfe84a343f4122db51896a627a829
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $170.35
- Realized PnL
- -$4.14
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $6.98K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.49
Yes position
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $20.05
- Potential payout
- $5.73K
- Potential profit
- $5.71K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$13.81
Yes position
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $10.94
- Potential payout
- $4.38K
- Potential profit
- $4.37K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.58
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $19.4
- Potential payout
- $3.23K
- Potential profit
- $3.21K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.28
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- User PnL
- -$2.57
Yes position
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $5.88
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.12
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $8.6
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.4
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $20.87
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $10.01
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$12.08
Yes position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $4.12
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.88
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- User PnL
- -$11.64
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $4.58
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.42
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $950.05
- Potential profit
- $950.05
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $743.03
- Potential profit
- $743.03
- User PnL
- -$8.17
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $691.3
- Potential profit
- $691.3
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $475.05
- Potential profit
- $475.05
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $464.07
- Potential profit
- $464.07
- User PnL
- -$0.93
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $223.84
- Potential profit
- $223.84
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.8%
- Multiplier
- 6.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.8% 548.75 shares
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.8% 906.25 shares
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.8% 1,000 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETUp 1% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETUp 27% 18.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETUp 42% 11.9 shares
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.3% 4,706.67 shares
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.4% 1,710 shares
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.3% 3,333.33 shares
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.3% 3,333.33 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?Yes 0.8% 1,178.37 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?Yes 0.8% 1,285.27 shares