Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $268.46
- Potential payout
- $455.02
- Potential profit
- $186.56
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$64.73
Polymarket Trader
aliiz
@beshmigam
0xbea0922d263ae8ee61faae1fa642915691aae19d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.25K
- Realized PnL
- $811.42
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Ends Aug 10, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $9.8
- Potential payout
- $362.79
- Potential profit
- $352.99
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- $2.79
N
No position
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $134.97
- Potential payout
- $313.88
- Potential profit
- $178.91
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $11.26
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Ends Aug 10, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $8.67
- Potential payout
- $304.11
- Potential profit
- $295.44
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Yes position
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $278
- Potential profit
- $277.58
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$6.26
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Ends Aug 10, 2028- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $7.76
- Potential payout
- $254.33
- Potential profit
- $246.58
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $3.12
Yes position
Will Alexander Rikleen be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $4.83
- Potential payout
- $247.47
- Potential profit
- $242.64
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $2.35
N
No position
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $224.64
- Potential payout
- $232.91
- Potential profit
- $8.27
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $81.44
Y
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $137.35
- Potential payout
- $230.84
- Potential profit
- $93.49
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $7.52
Yes position
Will Aric Nesbitt win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $217.96
- Potential profit
- $217.2
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.11
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $120.84
- Potential payout
- $217.72
- Potential profit
- $96.89
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $16.87
Yes position
Will Mike Thurmond win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $215.51
- Potential profit
- $215.51
- User PnL
- -$9.85
Yes position
Will John Fleming finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178
- Potential profit
- $178
- User PnL
- -$3.38
Yes position
Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by July 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $19.97
- Potential payout
- $173.66
- Potential profit
- $153.69
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $112.94
- Potential payout
- $159.07
- Potential profit
- $46.13
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $5.29
Yes position
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $11.9
- Potential payout
- $158.63
- Potential profit
- $146.74
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.64
Yes position
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Ends Aug 14, 2028- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $155.9
- Potential profit
- $151.3
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Ends Aug 10, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $9.17
- Potential payout
- $150.26
- Potential profit
- $141.09
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- $4.41
No position
UK Recession in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $97.66
- Potential payout
- $145.77
- Potential profit
- $48.1
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $15.41
Yes position
Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $141.63
- Potential profit
- $136.53
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will Alina Habba be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.57
- Potential profit
- $135.57
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will Joel Brennan win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $132.44
- Potential profit
- $131.91
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $58.76
- Potential payout
- $123.71
- Potential profit
- $64.95
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$34.72
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $9.08
- Potential payout
- $121.05
- Potential profit
- $111.97
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$18.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Corinna Contreras advance from the CA-48 primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.42
No position
Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be between 325k and 350k?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.25
Yes position
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
Ends Jan 16, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $50.75
Yes position
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.30% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.41
No position
Will Drake officially release Iceman by February 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.08
No position
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $39.81
No position
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.13
Yes position
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by June 15?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.92
No position
Will Drake feature DJ Khaled on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.37
Yes position
Will 'Cloud 9' - Megan Moroney debut week album sales be at least 45k?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.69
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $31.46
Yes position
Will Martin O'Donnell be the Republican nominee for NV-03?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.44
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.74
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $28.04
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $26.89
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.36
No position
Will Abel Chavez advance from the CA-48 primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.2
No position
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.99
No position
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.09
Yes position
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.7
Yes position
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $23.52
Dems position
Larger margin of victory in Dem or GOP Texas Senate Primary?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.42
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
No position
Will SpaceX have fewer than 11 launches in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $22.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?No 11.6% 116 shares
- Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?No 75% 18 shares
- Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?Yes 63% 33.46 shares
- Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?No 38.5% 33.76 shares
- Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?No 39.5% 284.28 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes 56.2% 230.84 shares
- Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?Yes 23.8% 73.46 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes 1.1% 21.4 shares
- Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027?No 75.6% 131.33 shares
- Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?No 35% 3.29 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 24% 7 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 78% 19.23 shares