Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.94K
- Potential profit
- $6.94K
- User PnL
- -$65
Polymarket Trader
willardjack
0xbeb978ffcfc66e3ca05fe4d3f0aa005bbefb2cd5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $107.61
- Realized PnL
- $1.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $899.37
- Potential profit
- $899.37
- User PnL
- -$10
Toronto KOI position
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $565.06
- Potential profit
- $565.06
- User PnL
- -$11
G2 Minnesota position
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $231.14
- Potential profit
- $231.14
- User PnL
- -$20.1
G2 Minnesota position
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143.75
- Potential profit
- $143.75
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $27.46
- Potential payout
- $140.85
- Potential profit
- $113.38
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$72.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.67
- Potential profit
- $106.67
- User PnL
- -$34.83
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.3
- Potential profit
- $92.3
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $71.3
- Potential payout
- $77.55
- Potential profit
- $6.24
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $5.09
- Potential payout
- $59.9
- Potential profit
- $54.81
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$20.91
Vancouver Surge position
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Los Angeles Thieves - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.89
- Potential profit
- $38.89
- User PnL
- -$2
Riyadh Falcons position
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.58
- Potential profit
- $26.58
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.5
- Potential profit
- $23.5
- User PnL
- -$10.34
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $3.71
- Potential payout
- $22.5
- Potential profit
- $18.79
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$6.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.05
- Potential profit
- $22.05
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $21.23
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.04
- Potential profit
- $21.04
- User PnL
- -$10.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Toronto KOI position
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs OpTic Texas - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- -$2.28
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.67
- Potential profit
- $18.67
- User PnL
- -$10.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.65
- Potential profit
- $18.65
- User PnL
- -$10.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.03
Riyadh Falcons position
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 90.3% 77.55 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 71% 140.85 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 46% 54.35 shares
- Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers QualifierRiyadh Falcons 99% 189.33 shares
- Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers QualifierRiyadh Falcons 68% 4.41 shares
- Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers QualifierRiyadh Falcons 65% 7.69 shares
- Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers QualifierRiyadh Falcons 74.3% 6.73 shares
- Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers QualifierG2 Minnesota 28% 7.14 shares
- Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers QualifierRiyadh Falcons 82% 6.1 shares
- Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers QualifierG2 Minnesota 29% 6.9 shares
- Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers QualifierRiyadh Falcons 78% 5.13 shares