Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $148.5
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $8.85K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Polymarket Trader
apostadormil
0xbebe06983927e870b2063390ddbebd83769572e1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.52K
- Realized PnL
- $10.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $3.21K
- Potential payout
- $6.3K
- Potential profit
- $3.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $69
N
No position
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $4.65K
- Potential payout
- $5.96K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$118.87
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $498.15
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $66.15
Yes position
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $8.96
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.55K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$6.4
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- User PnL
- -$464.8
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$840
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$845
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- User PnL
- -$663.68
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $930
- Potential profit
- $930
- User PnL
- -$158.1
Yes position
Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $920
- Potential profit
- $920
- User PnL
- -$119.6
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $673
- Potential profit
- $673
- User PnL
- -$195.17
Timberwolves position
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$95
No position
Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $492.98
- Potential profit
- $492.98
- User PnL
- -$80.22
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $450
- User PnL
- -$59
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$152.7
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210.01
- Potential profit
- $210.01
- User PnL
- -$126.6
Yes position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.98
- Potential profit
- $209.98
- User PnL
- -$10.71
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $186
- Potential profit
- $186
- User PnL
- -$139.96
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $170
- User PnL
- -$108.8
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.76
- Potential profit
- $126.76
- User PnL
- -$19.01
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.52
- Potential profit
- $101.52
- User PnL
- -$15.23
Yes position
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.93K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $571
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $566.87
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560.33
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $512.08
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $403.5
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.04
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369.92
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.74
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.87
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $294.91
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.27
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.48
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $235.37
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.09
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.19
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.4%
- Multiplier
- 4.11x
- User PnL
- $157.03
Yes position
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.8
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-03-26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 40% 2,400 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 4% 500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 28% 999.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 29.4% 420 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 73.8% 309.63 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?Yes 25% 60 shares
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No 80% 5,038.8 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 24.4% 1,000 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 93.6% 7,841.52 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 20% 1,188.07 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 83% 640 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 79% 640 shares