Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $843.21K
- Potential payout
- $846.17K
- Potential profit
- $2.96K
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Polymarket Trader
MoronKiler
0xbebe49168cc3fe33fd9060c6fc83355c3359a8b5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.16M
- Realized PnL
- $125.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $215.3K
- Potential payout
- $216.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- $1.99K
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $99.25K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $749.99
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.97K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.2K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.68K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.98K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96K
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.47K
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84K
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37K
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $997.66
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $944.85
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $920.55
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $786.29
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $756.28
No position
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.33
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.27
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.4% 392,507.53 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.4% 100,802.55 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.2% 14,775.51 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.1% 1,850.02 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98% 2,719.39 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.9% 1,248.06 shares
- Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 99.9% 760,796.76 shares
- Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?No 99.9% 236,064.23 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 99.6% 158.4 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 99.5% 19,520.49 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 99.4% 96,166.26 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 97.7% 163.72 shares