Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.41K
- Potential profit
- $55.41K
- User PnL
- -$6.65K
Polymarket Trader
0xFJAFJKLDSKF7JKFDJ
0xbec7a683cb46ac0e04e9a26d703f893d4d036cfd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.16K
- Realized PnL
- $46.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.33K
- Potential payout
- $14.33K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.9K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.3K
- Potential payout
- $8.3K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.81K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.28K
- Potential payout
- $8.28K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.88K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.03K
- Potential profit
- $6.03K
- User PnL
- -$1.45K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.32K
- Potential profit
- $5.32K
- User PnL
- -$210.02
No position
Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$124
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $3.7K
- User PnL
- -$415.37
No position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $2.47K
- User PnL
- -$156.31
No position
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $2.35K
- User PnL
- -$885.76
No position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$13.95
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $250.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8K
Yes position
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.92K
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43K
Yes position
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
Yes position
Trump releases Epstein list today?
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Yes position
Iran strike on Israel today?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
No position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
No position
Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $954.02
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $948.26
Yes position
Will Trump increase tariffs on Mexico before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $873.08
No position
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $763.15
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $627.02
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $623.02
Yes position
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $555.91
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.61
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $491.9
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $450.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 12% 55,409.58 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 80% 1,251.49 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 58.9% 14,332.22 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 30% 8,297.74 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes 24% 6,027.28 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 41% 8,279.09 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 95.8% 22,577.54 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberNo 21% 2,220.77 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberNo 29% 2,220.77 shares
- Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes 23% 1,559.47 shares
- Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?Yes 5% 10,150.3 shares
- U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?Yes 51.6% 17.23 shares