Polymarket Trader

Wolibear

0xbec8cdd436f4ada2621865f613dad0e6aed0d919

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $187.61
Realized PnL: $21.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $16.92
Potential payout: $638.55
Potential profit: $621.63
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $43.26
Potential payout: $358.98
Potential profit: $315.72
Multiplier: 8.30x
User PnL: -$6.74

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $121.09
Potential payout: $260.42
Potential profit: $139.32
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$28.91

Yes position

Will Seoul have between 70-75mm of precipitation in April?-N5ag

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.04
Potential profit: $31.04
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.75
Potential profit: $14.75
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.27
Potential profit: $13.27
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.57
Potential profit: $8.57
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $2.05
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 25.7%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $0.81
Multiplier: 3.90x
User PnL: -$0.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.42K

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.6K

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.27K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $964.2

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $647.33

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.51

Yes position

Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.36

Yes position

Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.48

Yes position

Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.85

Yes position

Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.25

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

Yes position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.33

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?

Yes 2.5% 638.55 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Yes 57.6% 260.42 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

Yes 13.9% 358.98 shares
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 67% 149.25 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?

No 95% 31.58 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?

No 96.6% 20.7 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

No 95% 52.63 shares
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 99.5% 5.03 shares
Will Seoul have between 70-75mm of precipitation in April?-N5ag

Yes 3.2% 31.04 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Yes 33.9% 14.75 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

No 75% 6.67 shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 74.7% 4.02 shares