Yes position
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 29m?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $144.04
- Potential profit
- $143.75
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Polymarket Trader
0xBEd03391979811CF85EEe95cCF5EadE3397De918-1767773066074
0xbed03391979811cf85eee95ccf5eade3397de918
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.28
- Realized PnL
- $61.24
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.94
- Potential profit
- $35.94
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 39m?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $34.5
- Potential profit
- $33.79
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Yes position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.64
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 29m and 34m?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $23.62
- Potential profit
- $23.56
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.13
- Potential profit
- $20.13
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $10.74
- Potential payout
- $10.98
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.8%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $10.38
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $5.86
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $2.34
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $1.48
- Potential payout
- $7.04
- Potential profit
- $5.57
- Multiplier
- 4.77x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.01
- Potential profit
- $6.01
- User PnL
- -$1.98
No position
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $3.66
- Potential profit
- $2.45
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.3
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.4
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.97
- Potential payout
- $2.18
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.7
Y
Yes position
Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $13.35
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
Yes position
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will "The Death of Robin Hood" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will "The Last Ship: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will "The Invite" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 29m and 34m?Yes 0.4% 75.11 shares
- Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 29m?Yes 0.4% 4.97 shares
- Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?Yes 7% 14.09 shares
- Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 39m?Yes 4.7% 22 shares
- Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?Yes 44% 2.27 shares
- Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 39m?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 29m and 34m?Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares
- Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?Yes 44% 2.27 shares
- Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?Yes 44% 4.55 shares
- Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 29m?Yes 0.7% 149.01 shares