Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $425
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.58K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$125
Polymarket Trader
alohajp
0xbedaa2653cdf25e50e9b43d67fafdac6e1258bef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.35K
- Realized PnL
- $3.61K
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$324.74
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$220
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$170
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.17K
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $86.3
Yes position
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $292.24
- Potential payout
- $3.85K
- Potential profit
- $3.55K
- Multiplier
- 13.16x
- User PnL
- $110.04
Yes position
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $27.11
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$19.08
France position
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$183.62
Yes position
Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
Ends Nov 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $42.41
- Potential payout
- $942.52
- Potential profit
- $900.11
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$97.56
Yes position
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
Ends Nov 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $744.49
- Potential profit
- $726.99
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$93.64
Yes position
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $504.99
- Potential profit
- $504.99
- User PnL
- -$307.03
Morocco position
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$113.75
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $26.2
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $373.79
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $33.24
- Potential payout
- $265.9
- Potential profit
- $232.66
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $9.97
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $218.94
- Potential profit
- $218.94
- User PnL
- -$7.44
Yes position
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $31
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $169
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $105.19
- Potential payout
- $122.31
- Potential profit
- $17.12
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $47.62
Yes position
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $14.84
- Potential payout
- $122.1
- Potential profit
- $107.26
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- $13.07
Yes position
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $7.05
- Potential payout
- $42.75
- Potential profit
- $35.7
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$9.62
Yes position
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $37.96
- Potential profit
- $37.86
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
Ends Nov 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $27.21
- Potential profit
- $26.74
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $910.99
Yes position
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $602.21
Los Angeles Dodgers position
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $567.28
Texas Rangers position
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $476.04
$80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $439.06
Chicago White Sox position
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $245.75
Yes position
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.32
Toronto Blue Jays position
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.62
No position
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.25
Colorado Rockies position
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.13
Washington Nationals position
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.48
No position
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.03
New York Mets position
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Multiplier
- 11.63x
- User PnL
- $8.5
Texas Rangers position
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.87
No position
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
No position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $0
Los Angeles Dodgers position
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.3
Yes position
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$23.88
Colorado Rockies position
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$24.69
Yes position
Will Puerto Rico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Seattle Mariners position
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance 8.6% 1,000 shares
- France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance 9.8% 444 shares
- Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes 86% 122.31 shares
- France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco 22.8% 500 shares
- Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes 87% 200 shares
- Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes 88% 51.63 shares
- Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes 1.4% 122.1 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes 3.4% 5,000 shares
- Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?Yes 14.9% 942.52 shares
- Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?Yes 18.3% 165.5 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k 99.9% 2,547.73 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k 85% 105.46 shares