Polymarket Trader

0xbEDAfcDd5BF046eD63949Aa142d0e390755e77Fb-1771020400339

0xbedafcdd5bf046ed63949aa142d0e390755e77fb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $305.93
Realized PnL: $441.44
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.5K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $35
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.97K
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $18.89
Potential payout: $921.43
Potential profit: $902.54
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $3.89

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $32.73
Potential payout: $579.23
Potential profit: $546.51
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$2.27

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $18.03
Potential payout: $303.03
Potential profit: $285
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $52.25
Potential payout: $254.24
Potential profit: $201.99
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: $37.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $29.01
Potential payout: $246.91
Potential profit: $217.9
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $9.01

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $25.88
Potential payout: $206.19
Potential profit: $180.31
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $12.69
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $172.5
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: -$7.31

Yes position

Will Mark Rutte say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during meeting with Prime Minister of Czechia?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.03
Potential profit: $144.03
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $24.53
Potential payout: $124.22
Potential profit: $99.69
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $4.53

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $16.75
Potential payout: $122.7
Potential profit: $105.95
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$3.25

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $40.18
Potential payout: $107.14
Potential profit: $66.96
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $25.18

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.03

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.35

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.49

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.92

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.67

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on March 15?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Trump dance during National Agriculture Day event?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.1% 245.9 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 206.19 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.6% 303.03 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.1% 246.91 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.8% 185.19 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 124.22 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.3% 122.7 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6% 333.33 shares
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 12.34 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 14% 107.14 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.6% 921.43 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.3% 5,000 shares