Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $2.83
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $163.83
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$12.17
Polymarket Trader
usamabeenballin
0xbeef769e773cd018d2689ccc326584090f6cf919
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $79.34
- Realized PnL
- $21.06
- Win rate
- 63.6%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $13.06
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $42.5
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $6.92
- Potential payout
- $42.04
- Potential profit
- $35.13
- Multiplier
- 6.08x
- User PnL
- -$8.08
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $11.46
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $30.21
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$3.54
Yes position
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $14.91
- Potential payout
- $18.07
- Potential profit
- $3.16
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $14.97
- Potential payout
- $15.31
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $15.2
- Potential payout
- $15.23
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 83.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $11.73
N
No position
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Petra Marcinko position
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Nikola Bartunkova position
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana Shnaider
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Jenson Brooksby position
HSBC Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Martin Damm
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?No 83% 18.07 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 87% 11.49 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 35.7% 42.04 shares
- Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.3% 19.24 shares
- Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes 98.9% 4.07 shares
- Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes 98.9% 15.17 shares
- No one announced as next James Bond?Yes 98.5% 15.23 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 71.1% 51.06 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 98% 15.31 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 48.7% 30.82 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 47.3% 21.14 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No 99.9% 54.27 shares