No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $16.67K
- Potential payout
- $19.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.01K
Polymarket Trader
StoneMarble
0xbef5ab169458cb47c5d233e067dff4447fad1c5a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.8K
- Realized PnL
- $27.98K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $6.13K
- Potential payout
- $7.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $2.06K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.61K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.5
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $104.4
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.4
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $84.26
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.54
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.51
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.61
No position
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.82
No position
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 81% 10 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.2% 12,103.87 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.3% 4,562.13 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.3% 16,666 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 54% 2,209.61 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 80.1% 180 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 80.3% 20 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 80.9% 1,500 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 80% 31.65 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 80% 500 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 79.9% 6,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 79.6% 1,000 shares