Polymarket Trader

0xBefd44378A4179521c94Dd61C1925B320f37A9C0-1777253177794

0xbefd44378a4179521c94dd61c1925b320f37a9c0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $98.75
Realized PnL: $236.27
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103
Potential profit: $103
User PnL: -$30.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $8.3
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $91.7
Multiplier: 12.05x
User PnL: -$35.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$42.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$22.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 15.8%
Current value: $15.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $84.25
Multiplier: 6.35x
User PnL: $6.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 74.7%
Current value: $74.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $25.3
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $38.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.67

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 44% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 36.1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 8.8% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET

Down 99.9% 44.04 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 8.4% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 37% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 45% 100 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8PM ET

Down 99.8% 49.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET

Up 99.7% 63.19 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 6.1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 23.8% 99.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 42.8% 100 shares