Polymarket Trader

0xBf070b0E541a3503CD4676A1E7B95955d7959F69-1767862162927

0xbf070b0e541a3503cd4676a1e7b95955d7959f69

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0.95
Realized PnL: $477.36
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $282.77
Potential profit: $282.77
User PnL: -$192

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.05
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.95
Potential profit: $23.95
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.06
Potential profit: $16.06
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.09
Potential profit: $11.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C or higher on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.73
Potential profit: $4.73
User PnL: -$0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.04
Potential profit: $4.04
User PnL: -$0.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.18

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.07

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.08

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.64

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $8.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.23

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.92

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.28

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 5?

Yes 90% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 5?

Yes 46.6% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 5?

No 70% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 1?

Yes 0.1% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 28?

Yes 52.3% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

No 96.1% 130 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Yes 36% 80 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Yes 18% 66.66 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Yes 17% 160 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Yes 24% 66.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

No 72% 130 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

No 85% 219.78 shares