Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.98K
- Potential profit
- $14.98K
- User PnL
- -$296.38
Polymarket Trader
0x4dF63E746b71d3a8e
0xbf0fd14d47d8d785ac19f33aafa6985501f128ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $407.98
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.97K
- Potential profit
- $9.97K
- User PnL
- -$1.6K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.44K
- Potential profit
- $6.44K
- User PnL
- -$254.55
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.82K
- Potential profit
- $3.82K
- User PnL
- -$267.35
Yes position
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $407.98
- Potential payout
- $815.3
- Potential profit
- $407.32
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $12.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 48.5% 815.3 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes 2% 4,253.3 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes 7% 1,630.28 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes 7% 2,022.04 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes 4% 1,371.2 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes 2% 864.19 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes 2% 864.87 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes 4% 67.94 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes 16% 9,973.01 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes 2% 8,086.43 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes 3.9% 4,181.97 shares