Polymarket Trader

HRumpTArris

0xbf12762b6a6018c196865cea06f9ca7fdf36f9d1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $191.73
Realized PnL: $5.34K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$928.53

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85K
Potential profit: $3.85K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$290

Yes position

Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $790.74
Potential profit: $790.74
User PnL: -$48.92

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $713.72
Potential profit: $713.72
User PnL: -$250

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $509.05
Potential profit: $509.05
User PnL: -$49.89

No position

Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $485.63
Potential profit: $485.63
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $425.53
Potential profit: $425.53
User PnL: -$246.81

Yes position

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $191.73
Potential payout: $403.64
Potential profit: $211.91
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $91.73

No position

Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280.23
Potential profit: $280.23
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $251.71
Potential profit: $251.71
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.22
Potential profit: $216.22
User PnL: -$49.61

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.14
Potential profit: $197.14
User PnL: -$4.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.7
Potential profit: $70.7
User PnL: -$19.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.97
Potential profit: $7.97
User PnL: -$1.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.19
Potential profit: $3.19
User PnL: -$0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.19
Potential profit: $3.19
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Yes position

Will Trump say "gun" 5 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $372.04

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $324.78

Yes position

Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.25

Yes position

Will Trump say "Puerto Rico" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?

Ends Oct 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.99

Yes position

Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.26

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.47

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.51

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.99

49ers position

Cowboys vs. 49ers

Ends Oct 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.9

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tariff" during Georgia rally on October 28?

Ends Oct 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.26

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24

Yes position

Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59

Yes position

Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.24

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$5.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.81

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.65

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25.38

Cowboys position

Cowboys vs. 49ers

Ends Oct 27, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 73% 342.47 shares
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 27.1% 1,000 shares
Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Yes 88% 21.59 shares
Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 36% 138.89 shares
Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 36% 277.78 shares
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 23.3% 400 shares
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 88.3% 624.3 shares
Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 33.7% 297.06 shares
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 25% 400 shares
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 92% 543.48 shares
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 80.1% 624.3 shares
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Yes 83.8% 1,193.26 shares