Polymarket Trader

adspokposs

0xbf1472b80cc2a7b84d3cb1c544735cb7d9d25d95

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0.72
Realized PnL: $862.65
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$2.64

Cheeseburger position

Overwatch: ONSIDE Gaming vs Cheeseburger (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 1 Group Stage

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$2.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.65
Potential profit: $236.65
User PnL: -$7.48

Milwaukee Brewers position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.55
Potential profit: $197.55
User PnL: -$5.46

No position

Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180.01
Potential profit: $180.01
User PnL: -$1.98

Tampa Bay Rays position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180.01
Potential profit: $180.01
User PnL: -$1.26

No position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 22, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180.01
Potential profit: $180.01
User PnL: -$2.79

Yes position

Will USA win Pool B at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$2.34

Beatriz Haddad Maia position

Miami Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Beatriz Haddad Maia

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$2.07

Up position

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$6.66

Yes position

Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 14.5

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$3.06

No position

Will Trump say "Midterm" this week?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$1.8

Texas A&M Aggies position

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M Aggies

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.82
Potential profit: $179.82
User PnL: -$2.34

Yes position

Will Chiefs win?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.57
Potential profit: $177.57
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.09
Potential profit: $177.09
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.98
Potential profit: $175.98
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will Sydney FC win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.86
Potential profit: $173.86
User PnL: -$3.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171
Potential profit: $171
User PnL: -$1.88

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.95
Potential profit: $168.95
User PnL: -$1.27

Maxim Mrva position

Hersonissos 2: Maxim Mrva vs Toby Samuel

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.98
Potential profit: $167.98
User PnL: -$1.89

No position

Will Egypt win on 2026-03-26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.65
Potential profit: $166.65
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2026-03-12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165.99
Potential profit: $165.99
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $160.75
Potential profit: $160.03
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.67

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.3

Yes position

Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.39

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.96

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.9

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.14

Over position

Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.39

Yes position

Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.92

Yes position

Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.1

No position

Iran strike on US military by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.72

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $110-$115 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.22

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.19

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.13

Yes position

Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.57

No position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.55

Yes position

SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.41

Hawks position

Spread: Hawks (-9.5)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.32

No position

Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 52.2%
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $23.12

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Starmer out by June 24, 2026?

No 12% 1 shares
Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 1 shares
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in June?

Yes 1.1% 1 shares
Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1% 1 shares
Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 1 shares
Will Reya launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 1% 1 shares
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 3.4% 1 shares
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?

Yes 12.6% 1 shares
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of June 27?

No 2.6% 1 shares
Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1.8% 1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 7.4% 1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 8.8% 1 shares