Polymarket Trader

trim4041

0xbf14a8daf4998fd407d8e9ed6bb67bdfc4374274

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $52.68
Realized PnL: $141.99
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Exact Score: Curaçao 0 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.71

No position

Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 2 Colombia?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.3

Under position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $10.68
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $1.32
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-06-07?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214

No position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Real Sociedad de Fútbol position

Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

CD Nacional position

Spread: Vitória SC (-1.5)

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Will XRP dip to $1.35 on March 24?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Social Democratic Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.29

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.41

Yes position

Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$7.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5

Under 90% 12 shares
Exact Score: Curaçao 0 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?

No 91% 19 shares
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 2 Colombia?

No 90% 13 shares
Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-06-07?

No 93% 10 shares
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-05-26?

No 92% 14 shares
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)

Real Sociedad de Fútbol 92% 16 shares
Spread: Vitória SC (-1.5)

CD Nacional 92% 14 shares
Will Social Democratic Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election?

Yes 4% 798 shares
Will Social Democratic Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election?

Yes 4.1% 191 shares
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?

No 96.8% 99 shares
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 4.4% 3,544 shares
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

No 97.8% 1,467 shares